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Auto Dealers' Trainers' & Recruiters News
March 06.2025
2 Minutes Read

CBB’s 2025 Forecast: Pivoting is Key for Automotive Success

CBB 2025 automotive forecast with retention and depreciation graphs.

Adapting to the Changing Landscape of the Automotive Industry

The Canadian automotive market faces a tumultuous 2025, with the Canadian Black Book (CBB) emphasizing the need for industry stakeholders to pivot in response to rapidly changing market conditions. This constant state of flux—due to shifting consumer preferences, evolving regulations, and economic uncertainty—underscores the industry's critical need for adaptability.

The Challenge of Predictions in a Volatile Market

In a recent forecast, CBB analysts expressed caution about the upcoming year, highlighting that many variables contributing to market stability are subject to continuous change. With the potential for U.S. tariffs on vehicles looming, there is increased unpredictability surrounding both wholesale vehicle prices and consumer demand. This uncertainty calls for heightened strategic agility among dealers and manufacturers alike.

Economic Pressure on Consumers and Dealers

The automotive industry not only contributes significantly to economies but also faces persistent consumer challenges. Rising expenses associated with car ownership—including repairs, insurance premiums, and financing costs—are impacting the market. Notably, interest rates have soared, leading to higher average monthly payments for both new and used vehicles. This economic strain is a reality many consumers are navigating, which adds to the pressure felt across the industry.

Time to Pivot: Strategies for Success

As the automotive landscape evolves, businesses need to pivot effectively to thrive. This means leveraging technology, such as artificial intelligence and data analytics, to assess consumer behaviors and market trends in real-time. CBB advocates for frequent financial valuations, proactive risk management, and the incorporation of alternative data sources to gain comprehensive insights into customer credit profiles. By prioritizing these practices, dealerships can enhance their operational resilience and responsiveness to market shifts.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Vehicle Values

Despite predictions of declining used-vehicle values—as reflected in the projected average four-year retention rate of 63%—the industry shows an underlying strength through stable dollar values. CBB notes that while retention percentages may decrease, the overall market remains robust, benefiting from limited supply.

Conclusion: Harnessing the Power of Adaptability

In this period of uncertainty, adaptability is paramount. Implementing data-driven strategies and maintaining an agile mindset can empower automotive stakeholders to navigate the impending challenges of 2025 effectively. As we move forward, it becomes increasingly vital for automotive professionals to comprehend the shifting landscape and take informed action.

Learn from the insights shared in this article, and embrace a proactive approach to ensure that your dealership not only survives but thrives amidst the challenges ahead.

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